Vea también
06.03.2026 12:53 AM
Based on the previous overview, it can be concluded that a full eradication of Iran's nuclear production, missile stockpiles, and drones would require a ground operation involving a vast number of infantry. This operation would need to take place in a country whose territory, remember, is larger than any European state, is primarily mountainous, and is home to about 80 million people. What amount of infantry would need to be deployed, what losses among personnel should be anticipated, who would be willing to make such sacrifices, and how could voters be persuaded that a war with Iran was indeed worth the enormous financial and human costs?
Therefore, Israel and the US are currently just launching hundreds of missiles and receiving the same number of responses. Intelligence reports indicate that there are at least 24 missile sites in Iran, each located underground, and no one knows the exact locations of all of them. Regarding the infrastructure related to the Shahed drones, it consists of entire underground cities with airstrips and production facilities scattered across much of Iran's territory.
In light of all this, it is evident that virtually all the infrastructure Trump is concerned about lies underground and extends kilometers deep into Iran. How can one know if a specific site has been completely destroyed when the scale of underground damage is not visible from satellites? Moreover, the US leader hasn't forgotten about the nuclear sites, and experts assert that since last summer, Iran may have not only fully restored its uranium enrichment program but also made its facilities even less accessible to enemy missiles. After the American strikes on three Iranian nuclear sites last summer, no one can confidently say whether the sites themselves, as well as their uranium and missile stockpiles, have been destroyed. Intelligence indicates that nuclear developments are continuing, and the targeted sites have been actively restored in the last 6-8 months.
Military experts assert that Iran will buy time, ramp up drone production to keep the war relatively inexpensive for itself, while financially exhausting its allies. Iran will seek to create conditions where the US and Israel can no longer carry out costly missile strikes on its territory. Experts are convinced that as long as an active regime exists in Iran, it will repeatedly restore all military and nuclear facilities, produce new missiles, and enrich uranium. Consequently, a complete victory for the US and Israel in this war is extremely unlikely.
Based on the analysis of EUR/USD, I conclude that the instrument continues to build a bullish trend. Donald Trump's policies and the Fed's monetary policy remain significant factors in the long-term decline of the American currency. The targets for the current segment of the trend may reach the 25 figure. At this moment, I believe that the instrument remains within the framework of global wave 5, so I expect prices to rise in the first half of 2026. The corrective structure a-b-c-d-e can be completed at any time, as it already has a convincing form. I consider it prudent to search for areas and levels for new purchases with targets located around 1.2195 and 1.2367, which correspond to 161.8% and 200.0% Fibonacci.
The wave structure of the GBP/USD instrument appears quite clear. The five-wave upward structure has completed its formation, but the global wave 5 may take a much more extended form. I believe that the construction of a corrective wave set may be completed shortly, after which the upward trend will resume. Therefore, I can currently advise looking for opportunities for new purchases with targets above the 39 figure. In my view, under Trump, the British pound has every chance of rising to $1.45-$1.50, but recent events in the Middle East are complicating the corrective structure.
