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Only a few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Friday, but they may trigger a new storm. The market has not yet recovered from Wednesday evening's events when Trump imposed trade tariffs on all countries worldwide. As a result, the dollar's decline may very well continue today on this factor alone. However, in the second half of the day, the U.S. will release the NonFarm Payrolls and unemployment rate reports. It goes without saying how important these reports are—especially if the actual figures deviate from forecasts. At this point, the dollar can only hope for a correction. If the data is weaker than expected, the market will eagerly continue selling off the U.S. currency.
There's no point in discussing anything other than Trump's trade tariffs. The dollar's decline may continue for several more days, and we recommend that traders pay attention to speeches from the leaders of major countries and alliances regarding retaliatory tariffs. Trump said that any response to his measures to "eliminate injustice" would be met harshly with new sanctions and tariffs. So, anyone who assumed that the tariffs introduced on Wednesday were final and their rates fixed is seriously mistaken. Lengthy and complex negotiations are about to begin with all the "sanctioned" countries that will not accept Trump's tariffs. Large players will now start implementing counter-tariffs. Today, we await a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who will undoubtedly comment on the updated trade policy.
On the last trading day of the week, both currency pairs may continue to rise, as Trump has once again done everything to push the dollar lower. This is likely far from the last shock to hit the markets in 2025. The global trade architecture is transforming, and many changes in trade flows are expected. Numerous companies and governments will seek new markets, reorient their strategies, and form trade alliances and agreements. This will lead to a significant redistribution of financial and trade flows. And in the currency market, we may see more than one storm ahead.
Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders.
Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading.
MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals.
Important speeches and reports, which are consistently featured in the news calendar, can significantly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade with caution or consider exiting the market to avoid potential sharp price reversals against the prior trend.
Beginners in the Forex market should understand that not every transaction will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and practicing effective money management are crucial for achieving long-term success in trading.
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*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
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El par de divisas EUR/USD durante el martes volvió a negociarse de forma bastante tranquila, como si la semana pasada no hubiera sucedido nada grave ni resonante. Pero
El par de divisas EUR/USD cayó prácticamente toda la semana pasada, y había motivos muy concretos y razones sumamente razonables para ello. Sin embargo, el viernes ocurrió un colapso
El par de divisas GBP/USD el miércoles retrocedió ligeramente al alza, y durante la mayor parte del día la negociación fue bastante aburrida y tranquila. Tal como anticipamos el miércoles
El par de divisas EUR/USD mantuvo el movimiento bajista el miércoles. De todas las publicaciones macroeconómicas de ese día hablaremos en otros de nuestros artículos; en este, nos centraremos
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