empty
13.06.2025 10:10 AM
Israeli Missile Strike on Iran Will Crash Global Markets (I Expect Bitcoin and #NDX to Resume Their Decline After a Local Upward Correction)

As I anticipated, the lack of a broad positive outcome in negotiations between China and the U.S. and renewed inflationary pressure led to a sharp decline in demand for corporate stocks, causing stock indices to fall across all major global exchanges. However, this isn't the only important reason for the overall increase in market pessimism.

The ongoing trade tensions between Beijing and Washington and persistent inflation in the U.S. represent a strong negative factor for investors. But a new catalyst has emerged—pushing gold prices up as a safe-haven asset and fueling a near-vertical rise in crude oil prices: Israel's "preemptive" strike on Iran. Tel Aviv claims Tehran continues to work on developing nuclear weapons. This news caused crude oil prices to spike 7% in the moment, sparking fears of potential supply disruptions.

The risk of a crisis escalation that could ignite the entire Middle East is looming. Israel's aggressive stance is dragging the world toward a full-scale war between nations that supposedly lack nuclear weapons—but might acquire them if needed.

Markets are reacting to the surge in geopolitical tension with declining demand not only for equities but also for cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin and Ethereum have plunged under pressure from geopolitical factors, and the same is happening with other major tokens.

On the Forex market, the U.S. dollar was initially under pressure due to the U.S.-China standoff—an issue that overshadowed a moderate uptick in inflation that might have otherwise supported it. But today, the greenback is actively recovering on cautious safe-haven demand.

Among economic data, the University of Michigan consumer sentiment figures may attract attention today, but as has been the case in recent months, they are unlikely to influence market sentiment significantly. Market participants remain focused on the ongoing tariff wars instigated by Donald Trump. In addition, the crisis escalation between Iran and Israel is currently at the center of investor attention. Everyone is awaiting Iran's response, which will undoubtedly follow—but what comes next remains behind a veil of uncertainty: either it ends there, or the world will be shaken by something more serious than a mere exchange of strikes.

The overall negative trend will likely continue after a short-lived recovery, driven by the risk of war between Iran and Israel. A correction in stock markets and a decline in token demand will likely be accompanied by a rise in crude oil and gold prices and a recovery in the U.S. dollar index on the Forex market.

This image is no longer relevant

This image is no longer relevant

Daily Forecast

Bitcoin

The token plunged amid the Middle East crisis. While it's currently rebounding, Iran's inevitable response could trigger another drop once resistance at 105,380.00 is reached. A reversal from this level may lead to a decline toward 101,882.00. The 105,059.60 mark may serve as an optimal level for selling.

#NDX (NASDAQ 100 CFD)

The NASDAQ 100 futures CFD is recovering after a sharp drop. However, growing expectations of a full-scale military conflict between Israel and Iran—likely to escalate—will continue to exert pressure on stock markets, including those in the U.S. The contract may resume its downward movement. A drop below the support level at 21,473.70 will reinforce the bearish trend, possibly driving the price down to 21,031.00. The 21,443.00 level may serve as an entry point for selling.

Pati Gani,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

Why Are Markets Riding a Wave of Optimism? (There is a likelihood of rising oil prices and declining gold prices)

Recent events—including victorious declarations from Washington about agreements on customs tariffs with Japan and the EU—continue to support demand for risk assets. At least for now, investors are not concerned

Pati Gani 10:16 2025-07-30 UTC+2

The Fed Unlikely to Send Clear Signals

While the euro and British pound show modest gains against the U.S. dollar, investors hoping for Jerome Powell to hint that the Federal Reserve is moving closer to a rate

Jakub Novak 09:54 2025-07-30 UTC+2

The Market Welcomes the Truce

The final word in the U.S.–China trade negotiations is expected from Donald Trump. Until that happens, the S&P 500 has decided to take a step back—especially with key U.S. data

Marek Petkovich 09:05 2025-07-30 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on July 30? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

A considerable number of macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Wednesday. Germany, the Eurozone, and the United States will all release Q2 GDP reports. It is worth noting that while

Paolo Greco 07:07 2025-07-30 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – July 30: The Pound Keeps Falling "in Sympathy"

The GBP/USD currency pair continued its decline on Monday and extended the move into Tuesday. It's worth noting that the British pound began falling earlier than the euro, already last

Paolo Greco 03:48 2025-07-30 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – July 30: Beating the Fallen

The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Tuesday, driven by the same factors as on Monday—as we warned in advance. On Monday, it was revealed that the European

Paolo Greco 03:48 2025-07-30 UTC+2

The Fed Will Remain in Wait-and-See Mode Until September

There will likely be some dovish hints, but they will probably not differ from previous statements and rhetoric by Federal Reserve officials. This is the general expectation one day before

Chin Zhao 01:14 2025-07-30 UTC+2

Trump Will Defeat the Fed One Way or Another

Donald Trump continues to reshape the world order. The U.S. President keeps dictating terms to nearly half the world's countries—and his strategy is working so far. The trade agreement with

Chin Zhao 01:14 2025-07-30 UTC+2

AUD/USD Ahead of a Crucial Release

On July 30, key data on inflation growth in Australia for the second quarter will be published. This release is highly significant for the AUD/USD pair, especially in the run-up

Irina Manzenko 01:14 2025-07-30 UTC+2

The Euro Lost the War

To be or to appear? The sharp EUR/USD rally to nearly four-year highs in early July may have looked like the eurozone's confidence in a bright future. A strong economy

Marek Petkovich 01:14 2025-07-30 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.