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Early in the American session, gold is trading around 3,131 within the uptrend channel that has formed since March 11, reaching high overbought levels. A strong technical correction is expected to occur in the coming hours toward the 21st SMA located at 3,091. The price could even reach the bottom of the uptrend channel around 3,065.
The gold price reached a new all-time high at 3,149 during the European session. It is now undergoing a technical correction. The downward move is likely to continue during the American session until the price reaches the support at 3,115.
If gold attempts to break above its high, we should expect it to challenge the top of the uptrend channel around 3,144 once again. If gold fails to break this zone, it will be seen as a selling opportunity.
On the other hand, if the price consolidates below the 8/8 Murray level at 3,125, the outlook will be negative. So, we believe the instrument could reach 3,091 in the short term and eventually climb to the 7/8 Murray level at 3,046.
Our trading plan for the next few hours is to sell gold below 3,144 with targets at 3,125, 3,091 and finally, 3,070. The eagle indicator is showing a negative signal, which supports our bearish strategy.
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*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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Given that the eagle indicator is showing potential for a possible recovery for the euro, we will look for buying opportunities whenever the euro pulls back and trades above 1.1596
If Bitcoin makes a technical correction toward the support at 118,750 or the secondary uptrend channel around 118,200 in the coming hours, this will be seen as a buying opportunity
Conversely, if gold falls below 3,320 and breaks the uptrend channel, we could expect a trend reversal, and it may reach the 4/8 Murray line at 3,281, eventually reaching
XAU/USD – Friday, July 18, 2025. The potential for XAU/USD to weaken continues, as reflected in The EMA (50) is below the EMA (200) and the RSI (14)
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