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The EUR/USD pair crashed in the short term as the Dollar Index rallied. Now, it is located at 1.0916 and it seems strongly bearish. After its upwards movement, a retreat is natural. Still, a broader correction needs confirmation.
Fundamentally, the Euro took a hit from the Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate indicator which reported only a 2.4% growth versus 2.7% growth estimate, and from the Core CPI Flash Estimate which registered a 3.6% growth versus 3.9% growth expected.
Later, the US is to release high-impact data and should bring strong action. The USD needs more support from the US economy to be able to extend its current appreciation. Unemployment Claims and Core PCE Price Index could report worse data compared to the previous reporting period, while Personal Income and Personal Spending could report a 0.2% growth.
From the technical point of view, the EUR/USD pair registered a false breakout above 1.1008 and now it has turned to the downside.
Now, it is almost to reach the uptrend line which represents a dynamic support. As long as EUR/USD stays above it, the rate could develop a new bullish momentum and could extend its growth. So, the retreat could be only temporary.
Dropping and closing below the uptrend line, retesting this line and staying below the new downtrend line bring us new selling opportunities.
A false breakdown below the uptrend line and making a valid breakout above 1.0964 and above the minor downtrend line activates further growth.
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*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful
Given that the eagle indicator is showing potential for a possible recovery for the euro, we will look for buying opportunities whenever the euro pulls back and trades above 1.1596
If Bitcoin makes a technical correction toward the support at 118,750 or the secondary uptrend channel around 118,200 in the coming hours, this will be seen as a buying opportunity
Conversely, if gold falls below 3,320 and breaks the uptrend channel, we could expect a trend reversal, and it may reach the 4/8 Murray line at 3,281, eventually reaching
XAU/USD – Friday, July 18, 2025. The potential for XAU/USD to weaken continues, as reflected in The EMA (50) is below the EMA (200) and the RSI (14)
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